Jeff K. Davis, CFA, Managing Director of Mercer Capital's Financial Institutions Group, is a regular editorial contributor to S&P Global Market Intelligence, formerly SNL Financial. Recent articles are republished here with permission.
2025
M&A as an investment thesis depends on timing (October 23, 2025)
Things Change (August 11, 2025)
Liquidity and Private Credit Keep Bank Losses in Check for Now (July 8, 2025)
What If It Is a Breakout in Rates? (June 2, 2025)
FASB Elects Common Sense (May 6, 2025)
Credit Spreads, Bank Stocks and the Margin of Safety (March 19, 2025)
Apollo Swaps Out the Banks (February 20, 2025)
Looking for EPS Follow-Through (January 14, 2025)
2024
Tomorrow Never Arrived (November 27, 2024)
Citibank's Upstream Dividend Update (October 9, 2024)
You Mostly Never Know (September 26, 2024)
Stakeout vs. Rescue Capital (August 27, 2024)
Citigroup's Walking-Around Money (August 1, 2024)
Synthetic Risk Transfers: Not as Risky as Advertised (July 1, 2024)
Liquidity Rules (May 30, 2024)
Selling The Silver (May 1, 2024)
Price Paid Matters (March 18, 2024)
Too Many Eggs in the Fed Pivot Basket (March 5, 2024)
Investing in Under-Earning Franchises (January 30, 2024)
Will the Fed Have a Big Footprint in 2024, Too? (January 3, 2024)
2023
Banks Ripped in 1995 Too (December 22, 2023)
Citigroup Bora Bora (November 22, 2023)
Cashing Out and Swapping Shares (November 6, 2023)
Bad News Does Not Age Well (September 28, 2023)
Some Cuts Matter More Than Others (August 9, 2023)
Jettison the Losers (July 10, 2023)
Credit Contraction Virtually Guaranteed (June 12, 2023)
What's Troubling Bank Stocks? (May 23, 2023)
'TTI' – Time to Insolvency (May 4, 2023)
Scouring Papers For the Next Story (April 17, 2023)
Commercial Real Estate Can-Kicking Trumps Immediate Loss Recognition (March 29, 2023)
The Sawhorse, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank (March 15, 2023)
It Is Never Good to Be a Forced Seller (March 7, 2023)
Duration is a Favorable Attribute for Leveraged Corporate Borrowers (February 14, 2023)
3 Questions for Jamie Dimon (January 10, 2023)
2022
Musk Can Look to Blackstone's Playbook on Hilton (December 30, 2022)
A Strange Year Fades Into Another One (December 12, 2022)
Butcher, Bank Stocks and FTX (November 17, 2022)
Times Change (October 24, 2022)
Friedman Can Forecast (October 3, 2022)
Eyes on the Deposit Door (August 30, 2022)
Predictive Programming Returns the Punch Bowl (August 2, 2022)
Not an Accounting Entry (June 30, 2022)
Rabbit's Foot (June 2, 2022)
Only Bad Bond Prices (May 10, 2022)
Another Memphis Banking Milestone (April 12, 2022)
First Horizon Closes the Book on Large Memphis-based Banks (March 18, 2022)
Grantham’s ‘Superbubble’ and Crazy Town (February 23, 2022)
Credit Markets, Not Equity Markets (January 19, 2022)
HEYDUDE, Buybacks and Acquisition Debt (January 4, 2022)
2021
Is Lending Money at Less Than 3% Worth It? (December 3, 2021)
Waiting on the Match (October 13, 2021)
No Constituencies for Higher Rates and Bear Markets
(September 22, 2021)Bouncing Checks (August 11, 2021)
Dimons Are Investments Too (July 29, 2021)
Recency Bias (June 16, 2021)
The New Normal or Just Unsettling? (May 18, 2021)
Excess Liquidity, Low Rates Leave Banks Between a Rock and M&A (May 6, 2021)
What To Do With The Cash (April 14, 2021)
Fraser Gets the Baton at Citigroup (March 9, 2021)
Crash Memes Everywhere (February 19, 2021)
Holdco Has a Point About Boston Private (January 28, 2021)
2020
Rocket Fuel (December 29, 2020)
A Potentially Epic M&A Year in the Making (December 2, 2020)
Revisiting Carl Icahn's view of CIT (November 11, 2020)
Buybacks Were Once Illegal for SEC Registrants (October 7, 2020)
Bank Stocks are Not Yet Buying the Fed's Expectations Game? (September 3, 2020)
Is High-Yield Pricing Fundamentals or Liquidity? (August 18, 2020)
Strangest Quarter (July 14, 2020)
Tables turned on Citigroup and Wells Fargo (June 16, 2020)
PNC's Position May be Better Than the Street Believes (May 22, 2020)
Internally Generated Capital is the Cheapest Capital to Raise (April 29, 2020)
A Slow-Moving Crisis Unfolded 40 Years Ago (April 6, 2020)
Reset In Motion (March 10, 2020)
Compounding Cash for Berkshire is a Tough Proposition (February 26, 2020)
Debt Jubilees May Not be Fake News (February 4, 2020)
Share Issuance Matters Too for JPMorgan (January 7, 2020)
2019
A Potentially Great M&A Year (December 16, 2019)
Boards Sort of Follow Earnings Too (November 12, 2019)
Underwhelming is Priced into Bank Stocks (October 15, 2019)
Circular Logic Abounds in the Tech Ecosystem (September 24, 2019)
Certainty for Banks will Intensify the Need to Merge (August 29, 2019)
Timing Matters (August 8, 2019)
Falling Rates May Surprise by Validating Digital Banks, FinTech Asset Gatherers (July 8, 2019)
Bond Market Administers Rough Justice (June 13, 2019)
Leveraged Loans Quack Like a Security Duck (May 24, 2019)
Liquidity — Same Story, Different Rate Cycle (May 6, 2019)
For Wells Fargo, the Volcano Beckons (April 2, 2019)
SunTrust's Corporate and Investment Banking Unit Looks to be a Winner Too (March 15, 2019)
Market Depth Depends on Price Too (February 27, 2019)
Scale for Another Reason (February 6, 2019)
Analyst Protection (January 11, 2019)
2018
Robinhood’s Chutzpah (December 19, 2018)
Know What You Own and Own the Numbers (December 3, 3018)
Change at the Margin (November 14, 2018)
Value Restoration Underway (October 23, 2018)
The Boom Rolls on in Nashville and Elsewhere (October 4, 2018)
Robinhood Will Have to Grow Assets to Make Money, Too (September 25, 2018)
It's Not You Invest, It's Rising Rates (August 27, 2018)
Selling Georgia Banks Near the Top (August 9, 2018)
Banks May Spend Corporate Tax Windfall on Deposit Repricing (July 16, 2018)
Citi's Corbat Controls Some Timing (June 28, 2018)
Maybe Santander Consumer Goes Out Cheaper Than It Debuted (June 15, 2018)
Crushing Private Credit (May 16, 2018)
Second Derivative Liquidity and Credit (April 26, 2018)
Wilmington Trust and Calling It Like It Is (March 16, 2018)
Spreadsheets Never Disappoint (February 27, 2018)
What if the Inflation Narrative is Not Fake News? (February 13, 2018)
Zeitgeist Capital (January 29, 2018)
The Rating Agencies Did Not Get Steinhoff Right Either (January 16, 2018)
Meredith Whitney Is Still Right (January 2, 2018)
2017
$20B of Storage Assets for Goldman Sachs (December 12, 2017)
Spread Is Not Necessarily Destiny (November 27, 2017)
Is BlackRock's Margin Sustainable? (November 7, 2017)
POTUS and Bullard on Real and Fake Debt Relief (October 13, 2017)
Greenhill's Recap - First Step to Going Private (October 3, 2017)
Goldman's Asset Moving Business vs Signature Bank's Storage Business (September 19, 2017)
Conspiracy Theories (August 30, 2017)
BDCs, Tesla Inc. and Quacking Ducks (August 15, 2017)
First Financial Bancorp Sells-off, Too (July 27, 2017)
EBITDA and Credit Stretching (July 6, 2017)
Penland, CCAR and the Vantage of Hindsight (June 21, 2017)
Falling Bank Valuations a Throwback to the 90s (June 5, 2017)
Sell-off in Sandy Spring Bancorp Shares Curious (May 19, 2017)
Citigroup vs. MidSouth Bancorp Corporate Governance (May 8, 2017)
Cadence Bancorp. Shares Attractive in a Transitioning Market (April 17, 2017)
GM Trades at 5.6x Earnings for a Reason; Subprime Lenders Can Too (April 4, 2017)
Reading the Tea Leaves at Ruth's Chris Steak House in Lafayette (March 20, 2017)
Garbled Game Theory for PrivateBancorp (March 8, 2017)
Charles Ellis on Indexing (February 8, 2017)
Clock Still Ticking at First NBC (January 26, 2017)
Gravity Matters, Especially for Financial Investors (January 4, 2017)
2016
What Does the 'Mean' Mean for Bank Investors? (December 21, 2016)
At KeyCorp, SunTrust, Corporate Investment Bank Units Make the Cut (November 29, 2016)
Credit Costs Should be Part of Banking Industry's Post-Nov. 8 Narrative, Too (November 14, 2016)
First NBC Provides A Bank Investing Primer (November 8, 2016)
Flipping the Field...Sort Of (October 18, 2016)
Quarterly Reports Will Not Always Be Snoozers (October 5, 2016)
Don Regan on Executive Knowledge (September 14, 2016)
Growth vs. Value in Nashville's Pending Bank IPOs (August 31, 2016)
Is Tangible Book Value Per Share Dilution an Insurmountable Investor Fixation? (August 8, 2016)
Bank Distributions Play to the Income Zeitgeist Too (July 19, 2016)
Income Post-Mortem and Coupon Clipping (July 7, 2016)
Liquidity Will Still Flow to Income (June 17, 2016)
Yadkin Financial Corp. May Not Be a Slam Dunk (June 3, 2016)
Ally Financial may be Thinking Creatively with TradeKing (May 23, 2016)
Comerica and Agitating for a Sale (May 3, 2016)
Early-quarter Read Shows Little Change (April 18, 2016)
John Reed's LDC and Hancock's Energy Reserve Build (April 11, 2016)
One Quibble with Bill Gross Regarding Citigroup (March 21, 2016)
Activist Investors, Optionality and Comerica (February 16, 2016)
John Thain, BDCs and Market Timing (February 3, 2016)
Dimon was Spot on Last Week (January 20, 2016)
Lion Capital Kind of Has a Point with Ally Financial (January 12, 2016)
2015
Bank Stocks as Early Cyclicals (December 15, 2015)
Regions Would Be an Interesting Partner for BB&T or Fifth Third (December 1, 2015)
Liquidity is Credit's Handmaiden (November 17, 2015)
Shared Upside vs. Shared Downside (November 4, 2015)
NAV: Literal or in the Ballpark Gospel? (October 26, 2015)
CIT's Next Chapter (October 9, 2015)
A Belated High-five for First Niagara's Board (September 29, 2015)
TPG Specialty Lending and TICC Capital Prove Price Cures Price for BDCs Too (September 18, 2015)
August is the Market's New October, but not for BDCs This Year (September 1, 2015)
Maybe Warren Buffett Agrees with Bill Gross on Financial Asphyxiation (August 17, 2015)
BDC Earnings Will Be More Interesting Than the Banks’ Reports (August 4, 2015)
Carl Icahn and Bob Farrell (July 21, 2015)
Jimmy Lee, Leverage and Liquidity (July 6, 2015)
Sidoti Is Broader Than Sidoti (June 23, 2015)
Prospect Capital’s Altar Call (June 12, 2015)
Heartland Financial USA Still in the Sweet Spot (May 29, 2015)
Investors Will Have No One to Blame But Themselves (May 20, 2015)
Mississippi Merging (April 28, 2015)
Observations from the Initial Q1'15 Bank Earnings (April 22, 2015)
National Commerce's History Rhymes a lot with Alabama National BanCorp.'s (April 7, 2015)
Howard Lutnick’s Predictions Still Look Prescient (March 20, 2015)
Revisiting the Aircraft Lessors (March 12, 2015)
Biased Against Special Dividends? (February 24, 2015)
Credit Marks, Asset Yields and Dividend Capacity Are Going to Get More Scrutiny (February 10, 2015)
Nashville's Next Crop of Bank IPOs (January 26, 2015)
Support After a Few Gut-Punches for Research (January 6, 2015)
2014
Credit Spreads, not Fed Funds Basis Points, are the Key for 2015 (December 17, 2014)
Energy Lending Narrative is Probably a Slow-Moving One (December 2, 2014)
Hancock Holdings and Expectations (November 25, 2014)
SNC Exam Nuggets (November 12, 2014)
A Witty Saying Proves Nothing (October 27, 2014)
Not Certificates of Confiscation (October 14, 2014)
CFPB Sets the Stage for the Federalization of Auto Credit (October 6, 2014)
Chutzpah as Duck Food (September 24, 2014)
Window on Agribusiness (September 12, 2014)
Synchrony and Walking Around Money (August 26, 2014)
Opposites Sometimes Attract in Bank M&A Too (August 4, 2014)
Making It Up With Volume (July 29, 2014)
Maybe the Fed's Decisions in the Late 1920s Haunt its Decision Making Today (July 9, 2014)
Synchrony Financial - Making Good Money by the Handful and Avoiding the Bucket (June 20, 2014)
Complacent Investors May Need to Reassess the Earning Power of Some Acquirers (June 5, 2014)
Investors Will Wield Sizable Pricing Power in the Citizens Financial Group IPO (May 20, 2014)
Are Branch Deposit Premiums Worth it Even if the Buyer Gets a Bargain? (May 9, 2014)
The Quarter-End Downgrade (April 23, 2014)
Not Stressed - Credit Should be the Focus if the Fed Hikes Rates (April 9, 2014)
The Fixed Income Capital Markets Jam (March 25, 2014)
Ally's Proposed IPO - Count Me as Skeptical of the Investment Merits (March 13, 2014)
Should Jesse Litvak and His Clients Cover Equities? (March 3, 2014)
The War on Judgment (February 18, 2014)
KeyCorp and BB&T Offer Differing MOE Paths for VantageSouth (February 4, 2014)
Signature Bank, Value Stocks that are not a Value and Growth Stocks that do not Grow (January 24, 2014)
PacWest-CapitalSource May be the Company to Watch in 2014 (January 14, 2014)
Leverage, Not Home Price Appreciation, May be the Story Buried in Newspapers Today (January 2, 2014)
2013
It Pays to Wait Sometimes (December 18, 2013)
Another Volcker Rule May Loom for Equity Capital Markets Units (December 10, 2013)
FirstMerit - Cautious, Pessimistic and Opportunistic (December 2, 2013)
Fed Policy, Pushing on a String? (November 26, 2013)
Yadkin Financial Could be a Regional Stepping Stone (November 11, 2013)
Bill Gross, Carl Icahn and Share Repurchase (November 7, 2013)
Jamie Dimon May Have to Call an Audible (October 21, 2013)
Loan Yields Continue to Grind Lower (October 14, 2013)
The Economy Cannot Withstand a Material Drop in Asset Values (October 9, 2013)
JPMorgan - The Problem with Warehouses (September 30, 2013)
No One Goes Broke Taking a Profit if They can Sell (September 20, 2013)
JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley's Bridge Loan to Verizon May Become a Permanent Loan (September 9, 2013)
Ally Financial - Price Cures Price (September 4, 2013)
You Gotta Have Leverage (August 21, 2013)
Larry Summers Less Than 6 Degrees of Separation from Hootie Johnson (August 5, 2013)
Did Comerica See it Coming? (July 29, 2013)
Feds May Face a Prisoner's Dilemma if it Attempts to Exit Ultra-Loose Monetary Policy (July 22, 2013)
Unscrambling the Egg (July 15, 2013)
ILFC's Year of the Snake May Yet Make a Decent IPO (July 10, 2013)
What Does Corsair Want to do With its United Community Banks stake? (July 3, 2013)
Playing Between the 40-Yard Lines (June 24, 2013)
Dashed Lines to BB&T and Wells Fargo (June 18, 2013)
Business Bank Bolt-On Could Be Best Play for CIT (June 6, 2013)
KeyCorp's Weeden and Huntington's Kimble Have One Thing in Common Other Than Ohio (May 29, 2013)
Forcing Humility on JPMorgan's Dimon Misses the Point (May 17, 2013)
Old National - Repositioning via M&A While Many Others Sit Still (May 9, 2013)
Regions and Synovus Typify a Manic Corporate Bond Market (May 3, 2013)
Praise for Coupon Clipping and Short-Duration Equity (April 26, 2013)
Cain't Be (April 16, 2013)
BB&T - Was It Something That Was Said? (April 9, 2013)
Haircuts Are a Euphemism for Corporate Reorganization (March 18, 2013)
Process of Elimination Becomes the Catalyst (March 11, 2013)
Farm Prices and Ag Lending – Good as Gold (March 6, 2013)
Crestview Partners a Common Denominator in KeyCorp's and Comerica's AM Sales – and Maybe SunTrust's Too (February 25, 2013)
Mack Whittle Had It Right (February 20, 2013)
What to Make of the Bank Stock Rally? (February 15, 2013)
CIT's Soft Attempts To Sell? (February 14, 2013)
Fed Policy - It Is Until It Isn't (February 1, 2013)
Banks Face Increasing NIM Pressure (January 22, 2013)
FASB Change May Move the Goalpost (January 17, 2013)
Chrysler's Successful 1980 Bailout May Be Prologue for Banking's TARP Experience (January 3, 2013)
2012
Nuclear Escalation Next for the Fed (December 19, 2012)
Julius Caesar, John Allison and the Federal Reserve (December 11, 2012)
Rainy Day Liquidity Is a Good Thing (November 29, 2012)
TruPS Deferrals Set Stage for Many More 363 Reorganizations by 2014 (November 27, 2012)
KBW Sale Marks the End of an Era (November 6, 2012)
Closing Another Southern Banking Chapter (November 5, 2012)
Revisiting Carl Icahn's CIT Debt and Equity Trades (August 29, 2012)
Emigrant Branch Sale Points to Parent Capital Structure Initiatives Rathen Than NYC Consolidation (August 7, 2012)
JP Morgan: Channeling Jeff and Ned Kelly, the Forklift and the Warehouse (July 23, 2012)
To read further articles from Jeff, visit S&P Global Market Intelligence, formerly SNL Financial (subscription required).
The views and opinions expressed in these pieces are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of S&P Global Market Intelligence or Mercer Capital.