Kate Mabry

Senior Financial Analyst

Kate Mabry is a senior financial analyst with Mercer Capital. Kate has valuation experience in engagements related to corporate planning and reorganizations, financial reporting, fairness opinions, litigation support, employee stock ownership plans, and estate and gift tax planning and compliance matters.

She is a member of Mercer Capital’s Auto Dealership Industry team. As a part of the team, she provides content for the Auto Dealer Valuation Insights blog and newsletter. Kate is also a member of Mercer Capital’s Family Business Advisory Services Group, and contributes to Mercer Capital’s blog, Family Business Director.

Education

University of the South, Sewanee, Tennessee (B.A., Finance, 2022)

Authored Content

November 2025 SAAR

The November 2025 SAAR improved to 15.6M, yet industry volumes posted a second month of year-over-year declines amid tariff impacts and expiring EV incentives. After September’s tax-credit rush, BEV market share has fallen by more than half, signaling a sharp reset in EV sales momentum. Finally, despite likely topping 16M units for 2025, per-unit profitability is slipping, and dealer performance is increasingly dependent on brand-specific inventory discipline.

The Long Run: Gratitude, Trust, and Legacy in Family Business

As we head into Thanksgiving, I encourage family business leaders to take a moment and reflect on who makes your success possible; recognize those contributions in tangible ways; reinvest in the community that supports you; and reaffirm the shared values that unite your family and your enterprise.

Navigating the Sale of Your Family Business

Lessons from the Auction Block

Selling a family business is a deeply personal and strategic endeavor, much like auctioning a rare and storied object.

August 2025 SAAR

In August 2025, the U.S. auto industry slowed as the SAAR of 16.1 million units represented a 2.9% decrease from the prior month. However, the trend of year-over-year increases continued, as eleven of the past twelve months have beat the prior year, with a 6.2% increase from August 2024. The August 2025 performance is particularly impressive given the inflated baseline from the previous year's CDK software outage that shifted sales into July and August 2024.

Navigating Private Company Valuations

When and Why to Use an Independent Appraiser

An independent appraisal, also known as a business valuation, provides an unbiased assessment of a private company’s fair market value, conducted by a skilled and impartial expert or firm. This process generates an objective valuation by drawing on financial information, market trends, and other relevant factors in order to effectively eliminate the distortions that can arise from in-house valuations. For private business owners and directors, this independence can provide peace of mind when making key financial and strategic decisions.

July 2025 SAAR

The July 2025 SAAR came in at 16.4 million units, up 7.1% from last month and up 3.7% from July 2024. It is important to note that this modest year-over-year gain requires a bit more context due to irregularly high sales this time last year. The June 2024 CDK software outage shifted sales into July and August 2024, making July 2025’s year-over-year performance even more impressive.

June 2025 SAAR

The June 2025 SAAR came in at 15.3 million units, down 1.7% from last month but up 2.3% from June 2024. When looking at the year-over-year comparison, it is important to consider that June 2024 sales were impacted by the CDK software outage. As such, the year-over-year change in the SAAR presents the June 2025 performance in a better light than it would be without the impact of the 2024 CDK event.

May 2025 SAAR

The May 2025 SAAR came in at 15.6 million units, down 9.3% from the previous month and representing a 1.1% decline from May 2024.

Understanding Family Ownership Roles

In a Harvard Business Review article entitled “5 Kinds of Ownership Roles in a Family Business,” author Nick Di Loreto describes five types of family business owners based on what they are willing to commit to the business: capital, intellect, heart, time, and career.

April 2025 SAAR

The April 2025 SAAR came in at 17.3 million units, down 3.1% from last month but up 7.8% from April 2024. Even with a slight month-over-month decline from the short-term peak of last month’s SAAR, April 2025 still saw the second-highest SAAR since April 2021. This highlights the strong demand in the current market as consumers are motivated to purchase a vehicle before potential tariff-related price increases.

Next Gen Up

The transition to the next generation has been one of the main impediments to family businesses trying to establish a multigenerational enterprise. For many family businesses, this transition can be rocky (and often unsuccessful) due to the next generation’s lack of exposure to the business and last-minute succession planning.

Capital Budgeting and the Meaning of Your Family Business

When it comes to capital budgeting, deciding the “what” is often just as (or even more) difficult than the “how.” In other words, what types of capital projects should be going into your capital budgeting funnel?

March 2025 SAAR

The March 2025 SAAR came in at 17.8 million units, up a staggering 11.0% from last month and 13.3% from March 2024. March 2025 saw the highest SAAR since April 2021, reflecting not only the recent trend of strong consumer demand but also the additional demand generated by consumers motivated to purchase a vehicle to avoid potential tariff-related price increases.

Why the Value of Your Family Business Matters

In this week’s post, we have compiled a selective list of reasons why it is essential for both family shareholders and family business directors to know what the family business is worth (even if the family has no intention of selling).

February 2025 SAAR

The February 2025 SAAR came in at 16.0 million units, up 3.2% from last month and 2.1% from February 2024. While February typically records one of the lowest sales volumes each year, this month's SAAR exceeded the average of the last five Februarys (approximately 15.3 million units). February 2025 performance reflected strength in consumer demand, primarily driven by improved inventory and incentive spending.

January 2025 SAAR

The January 2025 SAAR came in at 15.6 million units, down 7.5% from last month and up 3.8% from January 2024. January is typically one of the lowest months of sales volume each year, but as seasonal adjustments usually account for this, it is notable that this month’s SAAR dipped to the lowest point since January 2024. It is also worth mentioning that this month’s SAAR exceeded the average of the last five Januarys (approximately 15.4 million units).

Tariff Talk and Adaptive Forecasting

How Family Business Directors Can Stay Ahead of Unpredictable Times

For family business directors, it is critical to keep a pulse on current developments and understand the different implications that may impact or change their industry moving forward. Maintaining an adaptive forecast is one of the best practices for being able to pivot during unpredictable times.

December 2024 SAAR

The December 2024 SAAR came in at 16.8 million units, just slightly higher than last month and up 4.2% from December 2023. Notably, this month’s SAAR outpaced the last three Decembers and was the highest monthly SAAR since May 2021 (17.0 million units).

Nvidia’s Jensen Huang Has an Estate Plan — Do You?

It’s Never Too Early for Family Business Directors to Establish an Estate Plan

Jensen Huang, the chief executive officer of Nvidia, and his family are on track to save north of $8 billion in estate and capital gains taxes. So, how has the tenth-wealthiest person in America managed to protect his wealth from the 40% estate tax? He has a plan.Beginning in 2012, the Huangs set off on their estate tax planning journey by setting up an irrevocable trust. Without getting too far into the weeds, the Huangs and their team of advisors formulated an estate tax plan that involved the use of tax planning maneuvers involving intentionally defective grantor trusts and several grantor-retained annuity trusts (“GRATs”). These tax planning vehicles enabled the Huang family to effectively (and legally) circumvent hefty gift and estate taxes that would apply to a direct transfer of the assets to Huang’s heirs.Just like the Huangs, most family business owners aim to provide financial stability and support for future generations of their families. Putting in the work on the front end and establishing a plan, like the example above, can potentially result in significant estate tax savings for you and your family in the future.Estate TaxThe Estate Tax is a tax on your right to transfer property at your death. The tax is calculated based on the “decedent’s gross estate,” less the taxpayer’s remaining gift and estate tax deduction, which in 2025 will be $13.9 million per individual, as well as other specific deductions. Family business owners face a unique hurdle as a substantial portion of their estate typically consists of illiquid interests in private company stock. If this is the case, liquidating assets to pay the estate tax may prove more difficult as estate taxes are payable only in cash. Family businesses may have to be sold or forced to borrow money to fund the payment of a decedent’s estate tax liability.Ignoring estate taxes altogether is not an affordable option either. While it is true that the legal burden of the estate tax falls to individual shareholders rather than the family business itself, many family shareholders have not accumulated sufficient liquidity to pay those estate taxes without some action on the part of the company. The required actions may range from a shareholder loan to a special dividend to the sale of the business. A bit of forethought can relieve the burden on heirs, but when is the right time to get started?The Sooner, the BetterAs a family business owner, it is never too early to review your estate plan. While there are things that will certainly change over time, taking the pulse on your estate plans can have a major impact on the volume of wealth you pass to your heirs.Preparing to transfer ownership to the next generation in the most tax-efficient way is daunting, but here are some ways you can start thinking about your estate plan:Review the current shareholder list & ownership table: Based on the current shareholder list, are there any shareholders that — were the unexpected to happen — would be facing a significant estate tax liability?Identifying current estate tax exposures: Will shareholders have to look to the family business to redeem shares or make special distributions to fund estate tax obligations?Identify tax & non-tax goals of the estate planning process: If there was no estate tax, what evolution would be the most desirable for your family and business?Obtain a current opinion of the fair market value of the business at each level of value (control, marketable minority, and nonmarketable minority). The most difficult time to make decisions regarding your estate plan is the short term. Should we accelerate plans to sell so we can avoid a larger tax bill? Should we realize some gains in the family securities portfolio to avoid the possibility of an increase in long-term capital gains rates? We believe these questions can be avoided when a well-thought-out estate plan is established. Diligent planning on the part of family shareholders allows directors to focus on the long-term success and sustainability of the business without the distraction of potential estate tax exposures. Give one of our family business professionals a call today to talk about balancing tax concerns with the long view on your family business.

November 2024 SAAR

The November 2024 SAAR came in at 16.5 million units, which is 1.5% higher than last month and 6.2% higher than November 2023. Of note, November 2024 had one more selling day than November 2023.

October 2024 SAAR

The October 2024 SAAR came in at 16.0 million units, 1.7% higher than last month and 3.7% higher than October 2023. A strong October 2024 SAAR was accompanied by increased inventories and incentive spending levels industry wide, which put pressure on transaction prices and dealership profits.

The Boar’s Head Family: Why Worry About Succession Planning?

It is hard to imagine the founders of Boar’s Head envisioned this sort of conflict-ridden path for their family business. While avoiding shareholder conflict is never guaranteed, family business directors can add an additional layer of protection to their family legacy and long-term wealth through focused succession planning. Here are a few things to consider when developing your family business succession plan.

September 2024 SAAR

The September 2024 SAAR came in at 15.8 million units, 3.3% higher than last month and in line with September 2023. At their September meeting, the Federal Reserve cut benchmark interest rates by 50 basis points and highlighted a slight rise in unemployment. This won’t directly or dramatically impact the industry, but we do expect to see the effects of this rate cut (and likely forthcoming cuts) within the industry over the next couple of months and into 2025.

Mind the Margin

Why Margins Are an Important Metric for Your Family Business

Margin analysis can be a beneficial tool for evaluating performance. Becoming familiar with the typical margins of your family business will provide a touchpoint for identifying where opportunities to preserve and grow profits exist for your family business. Since ‘typical’ margins vary from industry to industry, being able to benchmark to similar companies can give family businesses a better idea of where they stack up.

July 2024 SAAR

The July 2024 SAAR came in at 15.8 million units, a 4.2% increase from last month and roughly flat with July 2023 (-0.8%). While the month-over-month increase was expected based on the CDK cyber-attack that hit the auto dealer industry in late June, we find it notable that results were still below last year.

June 2024 SAAR

The June 2024 SAAR came in at 15.3 million, a 4.0% drop from last month and a 4.8% drop from June 2023. According to Wards Intelligence, the CDK cyberattack caused a 50,000-unit deficit during June 2024; however, second-quarter sales were still relatively flat (-0.4%) from the second quarter of 2023 as only 11 of 91 days were impacted in the quarter.

May 2024 SAAR

The May 2024 SAAR was just shy of the 16 million mark, coming in at 15.9 million units, generally flat from last month (+0.8%) and reflecting year-over-year growth of 2.5%. Throughout the pandemic years, the auto industry was defined by volatility and uncertainty as inventory levels plummeted and transaction prices skyrocketed. In the first half of 2024, however, we have seen more stability in the SAAR as inventory levels rise and transaction prices moderate.

April 2024 SAAR

The April 2024 SAAR was 15.7 million units, reflecting generally flat month-over-month (+1.1%) and year-over-year (+0.4%) growth. Over the last several months, we have seen more stability in the SAAR than we have seen since the pandemic. This stability will likely give confidence to dealers and consumers alike after years of volatility and uncertainty in transaction prices and vehicle availability. Inventory levels, increased incentive spending, average transaction prices, and per-unit dealer profits will all be discussed later in this post.

March 2024 SAAR

The March 2024 SAAR was 15.5 million units, a 1.3% decrease from last month and a 3.7% increase compared to this time last year. The year-over-year sales improvement, along with declining transaction prices and generally flat inventory levels, may indicate that the industry is reverting to pre-pandemic trends.

The Green Jacket Guide to Family Business Surveys

What Can We Learn from the Masters?

Bringing together a group of any size is undoubtedly challenging, but nothing a little time and planning cannot fix! The Masters has maintained a focus on the long game by building traditions and interest in the game itself. Family businesses are in the unique position to do the same by cultivating a deeper sense of engagement and legacy among the shareholder base.

February 2024 SAAR

The February 2024 SAAR was 15.8 million units, a 6.0% increase from last month and a 6.3% increase compared to this time last year. February 2024’s year-over-year sales improvement and consistently improving inventory levels may indicate that the industry is reverting to its pre-pandemic ways. As nationwide inventory balances continue to expand, incentive spending from auto manufacturers has followed in tandem as OEMs and retailers compete to draw in buyers. Check out our recent blog for a deep dive into Customer Lifetime Value and the importance of getting buyers in the door for both dealers and manufacturers.

January 2024 SAAR

The January 2024 SAAR was 15.0 million units, down 6.9% from last month and roughly flat (down 0.7%) compared to this time last year. Following 17 consecutive months of year-over-year improvements, the January 2024 SAAR ended the streak with a slight decline. Since January is generally a low-sales month, a decline in the SAAR itself does not necessarily dampen expectations for the remainder of 2024.

December 2023 SAAR

The December 2023 SAAR was 15.8 million units, up 3.2% from last month and up 16.8% compared to this time last year. After only two months of single-digit year-over-year improvements, the December SAAR returned to double-digit year-over-year growth. The December SAAR marks a strong finish to 2023, with growth in line with the double-digit percent increases seen from March to September. The December SAAR extended the streak of consecutive year-over-year improvements to 17 months.

November 2023 SAAR

The November 2023 SAAR was 15.3 million units, down 0.7% from last month but up 7.4% compared to this time last year. As demonstrated by a second consecutive single-digit year-over-year improvement, the industry continues to grow slower than the double-digit percent increases seen from March to September.

Decisions, Decisions: 3 Questions to Start Thinking About Capital Structure

Capital structure decisions are crucial to the longevity of a family business. By addressing questions about available borrowing capacity, current capital structure, and peer comparisons, family businesses can be better equipped to make optimal capital structure decisions.

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